Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.379465 3.748773 4.149123 4.616596 5.148996 5.738236 6.442176
2025-06-08 2.820912 3.309331 3.875938 4.586384 5.459721 6.506428 7.868219
2025-06-15 2.556719 3.126965 3.823092 4.745049 5.948471 7.486201 9.632839
2025-06-22 2.294739 2.897703 3.663376 4.722064 6.171946 8.123970 11.013784
2025-06-29 2.081704 2.699182 3.509489 4.671404 6.329517 8.665770 12.309340
2025-07-06 1.844486 2.441917 3.246573 4.434459 6.187066 8.750337 12.925358
2025-07-13 1.728747 2.337127 3.178352 4.457679 6.411222 9.381925 14.448527
2025-07-20 1.647960 2.272359 3.157520 4.542503 6.728926 10.183150 16.350427
2025-07-27 1.580830 2.220284 3.148182 4.639580 7.069961 11.053841 18.493419
2025-08-03 1.512073 2.159503 3.119172 4.700237 7.353861 11.856999 20.633886
2025-08-10 1.442728 2.092074 3.073490 4.727656 7.581189 12.583867 22.740276
2025-08-17 1.343101 1.971228 2.935366 4.590311 7.509050 12.763489 23.795582
2025-08-24 1.267582 1.884768 2.848116 4.534904 7.582969 13.233767 25.553479
2025-08-31 1.204153 1.813441 2.780252 4.506737 7.703045 13.806429 27.633566
2025-09-07 1.181766 1.806261 2.816384 4.662311 8.179056 15.135639 31.645659
2025-09-14 1.128297 1.744595 2.756560 4.639845 8.310507 15.780591 34.193943
2025-09-21 1.074493 1.679050 2.685507 4.590250 8.382128 16.306658 36.554109
2025-09-28 0.994371 1.564873 2.523454 4.358230 8.063573 15.948927 36.600906
2025-10-05 0.961472 1.529327 2.496890 4.380970 8.270173 16.781009 39.945318
2025-10-12 0.940074 1.512239 2.501695 4.464035 8.611205 17.965092 44.521905
2025-10-19 0.921590 1.499059 2.512411 4.559092 8.987616 19.286095 49.818032
2025-10-26 0.899033 1.477322 2.505858 4.618482 9.291052 20.473620 55.021942
2025-11-02 0.873382 1.448610 2.484420 4.645327 9.523110 21.515374 60.044751